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July 8, 2025
The trade nobody ever wants to take…
I don’t say this naively, but I firmly regard being
Short Corn here (and Soybeans) as being the “easiest” and highest
probability trade that ever comes along…But interestingly, for decades I
have seen this set-up be a trade that nobody ever wants to take, quite
simply, because with seemingly 99% of analysts having called for a bottom
for months on end, endlessly citing supposedly “bullish fundamentals,” and
with prices being perceived as “low”, IT JUST BECOMES ALMOST
PSYCHOLOGICALLY IMPOSSIBLE FOR THE AVERAGE FARMER OR TRADER TO SAY, “GET ME
SHORT HERE. I THINK THERE’S A LONG WAY TO GO ON THE DOWNSIDE.” But that IS
what you’re supposed to be doing RIGHT NOW.
I’ve repeated this ad nauseum…This IS a “go with it”
situation.
WHAT COMES NEXT? With Corn surprising the whole frigging
ag world with its break into new contract lows…including 1000’s of farmers
who are STILL holding MASSIVE supplies in their bins from last fall’s
harvest, and DO have to sell the majority of that Corn to make room for the
new crop that’s coming? AND, who, also, I assure you, ARE beginning to
freak out about the dollars that HAVE disappeared…and continue to disappear
with every day the market closes lower…? WHAT COMES NEXT…for what I’d
say will be the next 4-6 weeks? Just straight ass down as mountains of
selling hit the market every day, while at the same time, buyers
are fully covered for the next few months and therefore fairly non-existent
(and China, btw is NOT bowing to Trump and NOT going to be swooping in to
support America’s crop prices)…AND THIS, I BELIEVE, IS THE RECIPE FOR THE BLOWOUT TO
SEVERELY LOW PRICES THAT I HAVE BEEN LOOKING FOR.
I CONTINUE TO RECOMMEND
GETTING SHORT CORN…RIGHT HERE…RIGHT NOW.
I ABSOLUTELY BELIEVE IT
IS NOW ON THE MOVE…AND HONESTLY DO SEE IT GETTING DOWN VERY CLOSE TO $3.00.
Call me if you want some
of this…Lots of ways to do it…with more leverage…or even futures.
More on Soybeans in the
next few days…But basically, the SAME STORY.
Thanks,
Bill
770-425-7241
866-578-1001
All
option prices in this newsletter include all fees and commissions. All
charts, unless otherwise noted, are by Aspen Graphics and CRB.
FUTURES
TRADING IS NOT FOR EVERYONE. THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING CAN BE
SUBSTANTIAL. THEREFORE, CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE
FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR FINANCIAL CONDITION. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT
INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. THERE IS NO GUARANTEE YOUR TRADING EXPERIENCE
WILL BE SIMILAR TO PAST PERFORMANCE.
The author of this piece currently trades for his own
account and has a financial interest in the following derivative products
mentioned within: Corn, Soybeans
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